19 October 2014 - 13:53
  • News ID: 227071
Iran Should Accept Market Terms

TEHRAN Oct 19 (Shana)--Iran is automatically cast out in a market faced with a glut of oil by OPEC and Non-OPEC suppliers that surpasses 90 mb/d while Tehran can barely supply 1.5mb/d.

By contrast, Iran's presence in the global market is intertwined with resorting to alternative mechanisms for marketing its petroleum products and finalizing oil deals with customers who are least willing to risk their reputation for dealing with a Tehran repeatedly slapped by western sanctions on its petroleum industry.

Iran's market is mostly oriented towards energy-thirsty countries in Asia, East Asia and the Middle East who are reluctant to face sanctions for transacting with Iran; for example, India and Pakistan, two major buyers of Iranian crude oil, import a relatively small number of barrels from Iran and usually fail to fulfill their agreed obligations for paying for their purchases which they say is because of the limitations in their banking systems.

As a crude oil supplier, Iran's presence in the market is also overshadowed by Iraq, and most observers speculate that Baghdad will be a major rival for Iran by the time it makes a full return to the market. For Iran, Saudi Arabia with actual production of 10mb/d and the boasted 12mb/d production capacity, is on one side of the market, and Iraq with 2mb/d is on the other side as a rival.

The oil and gas supplied from unconventional reserves by countries like the US and Canada cause another headache for Iran's crude supply. Supposing that the overall production costs are at most 60 dollars for every oil barrel, the current fluctuations in the market and the fall of prices to lower than $80 are expected to exert serious challenges for unconventional suppliers, making it economically unjustifiable for them to produce tackle unconventional reserves which will open up the path for the flow of conventional supplies in the market where Iran, as well as other OPEC members, will find more room for market activity.

Like every market, the oil market is an arena for rivalry between professionals and amateurs; those enjoying the skills needed for bearing the pressure of rivalry shall remain in the market while other who are lured by the distant attractions of the market are doomed to be marginalized. No one expects miracles to happen in a market, and the speculated OPEC emergency assembly will be no miracle for the current tumultuous market.

The pricing of oil at over 100 dollars a barrel can pose dangers for OPEC in the market if it is not properly contained by its  cooperative members. 

 

(Written by Jafar Pour-Farjoudi; Edited by Hamid-Reza Zahedi)

News ID 227071

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