1 February 2015 - 17:03
  • News ID: 234228
Oil Prices Depend on Many Factors

TEHRAN Feb 01(Shana)--It is not easy to predict the future of oil prices in 2015 as guessing the prices depends on different assumptions, the member of the Institute for International Energy Studies (IIES), Mehran Amirmoeini, said.

He said with regard to current level of oil demand and rising oil production by Non-OPEC it is expected oil prices in 2015 remain more and less at the current levels.

He said some oil analysts are of the opinion that continuation of the current level of falling oil prices will force a number of oil producers to leave the market in the next five or six months even though there are different views about the level of oil which is expected to get out of the market.  

He further noted that getting 1 to 1.5 million barrels of oil per day off the market can probably help to restoration of previous prices of 80 dollars or more.  

Despite this, it is difficult to predict the prices accurately because it depends on the demand side, he said, adding in case of the balanced demand and supply, oil prices may rebound, hitting 70 to 80 dollars”, he said.

He said: "In my view it is not reasonable to set a floor or ceiling for oil prices."

Up to now, no institute or a group has been able to predict the future of oil prices exactly even though sometime predictions come true.

Considering fundamental factors we should say that oil prices will more and less remain at the current levels, but we should take into consideration that non-fundamental and psychological factors play a role in the oil market as well.

Generally, regarding current situation it is unexpected oil prices start and upward trend. Inappropriate outlook of oil demand, overhang in the market, mild weather and strong dollar are among the factors that make oil prices rebound difficult, Amirmoeini concluded.  

News ID 234228

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